By Lesley Mitchell
The Salt Lake Tribune
Updated: 01/13/2010 12:14:12 AM MST
For home builders along the Wasatch Front, 2009 was one of the worst years ever -- but a step up from a particularly dismal 2008.
Builders took out permits for the construction of 4,337 single-family homes last year, up from a low of 3,992 in 2008. But home-building activity in the state's most populous area is still off from a peak of more than 15,400 permits in 2005, according to a report by Construction Monitor, a service that tracks activity throughout the West.
Hundreds of small builders have gone out of business in recent years, and those remaining are focusing on first-time buyers and setting prices in the $300,000-and-under range.
"We've definitely seen the bottom, and we're going to see some improvement this year, but I don't think we're going to go back anytime soon the levels of construction activity we saw in 2006 and 2007," Clark Ivory of Ivory Homes said Tuesday.
Ivory believes his company will see a 12 percent increase in closings this year, compared with 2009. But even with the increase, Ivory would be building at 2002-2003 levels.
"People this year will be motivated by (low) interest rates and tax credits," Ivory said.
But mortgage rates, which hit historic lows last year, are expected to inch ever higher. And federal income tax credits for buyers as high as $8,000 apply only to those who go under contract by the end of April.
Most economists agree the federal incentive and low interest rates have had a positive impact on the home-building industry nationwide.
Set to expire Nov. 30, the federal income tax credit has since been extended to first-time buyers (or anyone who hasn't owned a home in the past three years) who sign on the dotted line as late as April 30. It's also been expanded to include a $6,500 incentive for repeat buyers.
A state-level incentive that helped further motivate buyers in Utah last year, is no longer available. About 1,650 grants worth $6,000 each were quickly claimed by new home buyers as part of the state's "Home Run" program. A second round of 1,400 grants worth $4,000 also went quickly. Unlike the federal incentive, which applies to buyers of new and existing homes, the Home Run program was geared specifically toward buyers of properties never before occupied.
Like the new-home sector, the existing-home market has received a boost from the federal incentives and also is poised for a rebound. But it is expected to be just as tepid.
In its 2010 Housing Forecast released this week, the Salt Lake Board of Realtors predicts sales of existing homes this year along the Wasatch Front could increase as much as 10 percent compared to 2009.
Home prices are another matter. The cost of an existing single-family house is already off 13 percent from its peak three years ago and sits at a median sales price of $222,000, the board says. And the prediction for this year is that prices probably will fall another 3 percent to 5 percent.
"I think we're going to see a year of downward pressure on prices, and then it should stabilize in 2011 and begin to inch back up, but nothing like what we've seen before," said Bill Heiner, president of the Salt Lake Board of Realtors. He was referring to the 2005-2007 time period, when many areas posted double digit home-price gains.
In the new-home sector, Utah's Ivory Homes remained the top builder along the Wasatch Front last year, according to Construction Monitor, with permits issued for the construction of 444 single-family units.
Utah County-based Salisbury Development, which focuses on entry-level housing, was a distant No. 2, with 228 units. Richmond American, part of Denver-based MDC. Holdings, Inc. , which has struggled along with many of the other nation's builders, was No. 3.
North Salt Lake-based Woodside Homes, which filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy reorganization in 2008, is No. 4. Neither Salisbury, Woodside or Richmond American representatives immediately returned calls seeking comment.
Fort Worth, Texas-based DR Horton, which has been trying to carve a niche in Utah, rounded out the top 5.
Homebuilding: A slight reboundBuilders took out permits for the construction of 15,428 single-family homes along the Wasatch Front in 2005, a peak building year. Building activity hit a low of just under 4,000 units in 2008, but thanks to unprecedented federal home-buying incentives, the industry experienced a slight rebound last year.
2009: 4,337
2008: 3,992
2007: 9,898
2006: 15,370
2005: 15,428
Source: Construction Monitor