Home Loan Demand Up as Purchase Activity Gains

Great information on the state of home ownership as home loan demand is up and purchase activity gains momentum.

Published: Wednesday, 31 Mar 2010
By: Reuters

U.S. mortgage applications rose in the latest week for the first time in three weeks as demand for home purchase loans reached the highest level since October, data from an industry group showed on Wednesday.

If demand for home purchase loans, a tentative early indicator of home sales, continues to rise it will bode well for the spring season, the peak home buying season.

The Mortgage Bankers Association said its seasonally adjusted index of mortgage applications, which includes both purchase and refinance loans, increased 1.3 percent for the week ended March 26.

The four-week moving average of mortgage applications, which smoothes the volatile weekly figures, was up 2.2 percent.

The MBA's seasonally adjusted purchase index increased 6.8 percent, hitting its highest level since the week ended Oct. 30.

Michael Fratantoni, the MBA's vice president of research and economics, said the activity may reflect the looming expiration of a homebuyer tax credit, just as many homebuyers in October had rushed to get loans closed before the original expiration of the tax credit.

"We may be seeing a similar pattern now, as the extended version of the tax credit ends next month," he said in a statement.

The government's $8,000 tax credit for first-time home buyers originally was to end on Nov. 30. The Obama administration then extended and expanded the program, adding a $6,500 credit for home owners buying a new residence and increasing income limits. Eligible borrowers must now sign contracts by April 30 and close loans by June 30.

Leif Thomsen, chief executive of Mortgage Master, in Walpole, Massachusetts, said the tax credit has become less relevant in increasing purchases over time, because most people who could have taken advantage of it have already done so.

"There are still some procrastinators out there who have yet to pull the trigger on their decision to purchase a home and they will find themselves out of time very soon," he said.

Meanwhile, higher mortgage rates are muting home loan refinancing. The MBA's seasonally adjusted index of refinancing applications decreased 1.3 percent, reaching its lowest level since the week ended Feb. 19.

"Interest rates are the No. 1 indicator of how the housing market is faring right now, with unemployment coming in a close second," Thomsen said.

The MBA said borrowing costs on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages, excluding fees, averaged 5.04 percent in the latest week, up 0.03 percentage point from the previous week and also above the year-ago level.

An all-time low of 4.61 percent was set in the week ended March 27, 2009, based on a weekly survey conducted since 1990.

The MBA said fixed 15-year mortgage rates averaged 4.34 percent, up from 4.33 percent the previous week. Rates on one-year ARMs increased to 6.88 percent from 6.75 percent. Mortgage rates play a crucial role in housing affordability.

February home sales data indicated a lull in the market after signs of a recovery late last year. New home sales fell for a fourth straight month in February to hit a record low, while existing home sales fell for a third straight month.

Any improvement in the housing market would bode well for the U.S. economy, as it points to better demand in the sector where the first signs of the latest recession took root.

Copyright 2010 Reuters.

Real Estate Outlook: Steady Growth Expected

by Kenneth R. Harney

New economic reports indicate steady growth expected for Real Estate. Great news for all of us. Call me now to find your home. Steve @ 801-243-8202.

Harsh weather conditions held back home sales in February -- leading to some renewed gloominess by Wall Street analysts.

But several new economic reports, including on employment, suggest that during the coming several months we're likely to see steady but unspectacular national economic growth, and some pretty good housing rebound numbers to boot.

Even the February home sales numbers were nowhere near as negative as you might expect under the circumstances. Existing home sales were down slightly for the month – by six tenths of a percent – but were still clicking along at more than 5 million on an annualized basis.

Sales in the Northeast region, which took the brunt of the storms, were actually up by nearly 3 percent! Median prices in the northeast gained seven and a half percent!

New home sales were harder hit – down by 2.2 percent for the month. But median prices on new homes sold for the month jumped by six percent over January and were up five percent year over year, according to the Commerce Department.

In California, median home prices rose 11 percent in February and total sales were up by 8 percent, according to MDA Data Quick.

And look for that rising-value trend to continue in many parts of the country, according to statisticians at First American CoreLogic. In a new report they forecast home prices are likely to gain four and a half percent over the coming 12 months. Take out distressed sales from the equation – and prices would otherwise gain 5.6 percent.

A new study by economists at the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp (or FDIC) also provides a positive take on where we're headed. The US housing market, according to the FDIC, is showing "tangible signs of improvement". Affordability – which is obviously a crucial factor in whether households can buy or not – is at "historic high levels," says the report.

Economists at UCLA weighed in last week with their own projections. Not only will there be no so-called "double dip"—that's the bad news scenario where the US economy slips back into recession sometime this year – but the economic expansion will continue rolling along at a two to three percent quarterly rate of increase in the gross domestic product or GDP.

Meanwhile, last week's new filings for unemployment insurance dropped much more than analysts had predicted. This suggests that maybe – just maybe – we're finally on the verge of seeing some new job creation and fewer layoffs.

Bottom line: Don't get bogged down by the economic naysayers and snow storms. The national economy -- and housing -- are moving ahead on a recovery path.

Published: March 29, 2010

Building permits up in Salt Lake, Summit counties

This is awesome news for us here in both Salt lake and Summit counties. I am a new construction specialist and if what your heart desires is a "new" home, give me a call and lets get to work on it. Steve Jackson 801-243-8202.


March 18th, 2010 @ 10:42am

SALT LAKE CITY (AP) -- Some parts of Utah are weathering the recession without significant job losses or real-estate troubles, according to a leading Utah economist.

Jim Wood says Tooele County, with more than 15,000 non-farm jobs, lost only 17 jobs over the past year, while the full state lost 65,000.

Wood is head of the University of Utah's Bureau of Economic Research.

He says residential construction has barely slowed down in Summit County, home of three Park City-area ski resorts. Residential building permits were up by nearly 80 percent there in 2009.

Salt Lake County lost some jobs but permits for apartment construction were up by a third in 2009.

Wood's report is a snapshot of the uneven effects of the recession on Utah. He prepared it for Commercial Real Estate Solutions.